Tuesday, June 27, 2017

U.S. Mobile Network Speed Grows Nearly at Moore's Law Rates

With one exception, you can see that average U.S. mobile internet access speeds have grown by an order of magnitude in about seven years, close to what you would expect from a Moore’s Law rate of increase (doubling about every two years).

“Looking at the maximum download speeds, it looks like there's a 2x jump every two years or so—from 50 to 60Mbps in 2014, to 120 Mbps in 2016, and now to 200 Mbps,” PCmag says.

The results were obtained by drive tests conducted by PCmag.


Average speeds, as you would expect, are lower, but still follow the “close to Moore’s Law” rate of improvement.

That is one of the surprises in the networks business. One would not expect speed or performance increases for physical networks (civil engineering projects) to improve as fast as chips. But that seems to be happening in fixed and mobile networks.

The difference is that cost is not declining as those performance increases happen, as has been the case for computing devices, for example.



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