With the caveat that total cost of ownership is difficult to calculate, and also tends to represent less than 30 percent of total cost, GSMA Intelligence has attempted to calculate the net present value of millimeter wave 5G networks. As always, take rates matter, as does density. The GSMA analysis uses 2025 as the analysis period end date.
Adding millimeter wave capabilities to a 3.5-GHz network has a positive financial outcome in dense urban areas in China when peak hour use of the millimeter wave network is at least five percent. In Europe the positive outcome happens when peak hour use of the millimeter wave network is at least 10 percent.
Used to support fixed wireless, millimeter wave assets have highest value when there is strong data demand growth in China’s urban areas, Europe’s suburban areas and U.S. rural areas; and when there are specific localized areas of capacity undersupply.
In indoor settings, millimeter wave networks are financially positive when the millimeter wave network carries between five percent and 20 percent of traffic.
GSMA also assumes savings will be higher after 2025, as platform costs continue to decrease.
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