As early as 2022, China will account for more than half of all 5G subscribers, CCS Insight predicts. Even by 2025, following deployment in most world regions, it will still represent more than four in ten 5G connections globally, according to CCS Insight.
That should not be surprising, as India and China are driving net account additions globally.
In the longer term, CCS Insight sees 5G adoption taking a broadly similar path to 4G LTE technology. Subscriptions to 5G networks will reach 2.6 billion in 2025.
But eMarketer, apparently quoting CCS Insight, is showing slightly-higher numbers, even though it bases its chart on the CCS Insight data. Perhaps CCS Insight has itself revised its projections since October 2019, when the original forecast was released.
It is conceivable that the eMarketer estimate adds fixed 5G connections, but CCS Insight believes such connections will be about one percent of total 5G. That would not be enough to change the eMarketer estimates so much.
Other estimates suggest fewer than one billion 5G subscriptions by 20234.
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