The odds of the T-Mobile US merger with Sprint being approved have dropped from where they stood a year ago, when some observers said the deal was 90 percent likely. Early in 2019, some had pegged the chances of approval at possibly 50-50.
Now some believe there is more chance of rejection than approval. But many still believe the deal will be approved.
There are arguments to be made that three roughly evenly matched national mobile service providers is the sustainable market structure, as an independent Sprint does not, in this view, have enough market share or financial strength to survive as an independent entity.
Some believe it yet is possible for four national providers to compete, long term. That might be especially true if T-Mobile US and Sprint, denied a merger, were to be acquired, or merge, with other logical candidates, which might include Comcast and Charter, for example.
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